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Maritime Research

Container Shipping 2nd Edition Special Report - A Financial Health Check

June 2017

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Container industry risk assessment

 

The court receivership of Hanjin Shipping sent shock waves through the container shipping industry and even now the reverberations continue through the global supply chains ecosystem. The debacle affected not only shippers, but a vast array of vendors from ship leasing companies, port operators, container box lessors and suppliers - all felt the impact. Following these events our 2nd Edition Financial Health-Check report assesses the current state of each of the key players in the sector and identifies those over which warning signals continue to flash.

 

In this 2nd Edition special report, Container Shipping - A Financial Health Check - Macros and Micros, analysts at Drewry Financial Research Services Ltd have updated their independent assessment of the financial health of the industry.

 

Key findings from the analysis are:

  • Industry debt situation should improve as industry profitability returns. In our sample of 12 container lines, few operators have already started seeing improvements but those towards the bottom of our risk table have plenty of work ahead to mend their balance sheets.
  • Our analysis of the financial health of the operators show slight improvements are already underway. Most are likely to see better balance sheet and credit metrics if the improving profitability levels were to sustain over the next few years.

  • Gearing levels apart, the container shipping industry has remained afflicted with severe debt after investing heavily during the boom years; the expectation of a recovery in 2017 though is expected to ease the situation. Based on 1Q17 data, industry debt is already in the process of establishing a declining trend.

  • Most operators are finally reining in their capital expenses, indicating that the race to add larger vessels may be coming to an end. Similar to leverage, interest coverage has improved, as companies have reduced expenses (increasing EBITDA) and debt.

Drewry Financial Research uses a simple traffic light system to rank companies under according to their risk profiles.

We rank each company’s risk according to the following weighted parameters: balance sheet strength (45%), income growth (15%), diversification (10%), transparency (15%) and management/control (15%).


More Information

Companies included:

  • A.P. Moller Maersk ( Maersk Line)
  • China Shipping Holdings
  • CMA-CGM
  • Evergreen Marine Corp
  • Hapag-Lloyd AG
  • Hyundai Merchant Marine
  • Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd
  • Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd
  • Nippon Yusen KK
  • Wan Hai
  • Yang Ming

News

Challenges and opportunities for the global port and shipping industry

Challenges and opportunities for the global port and shipping industry
Presentation given by Neil Davidson, Drewry Senior Analyst Ports and Terminals at the China Maritime Day Forum, 11 July 2018.

Higher container equipment prices to squeeze leasing rate returns

Container equipment rental rates and cash investment returns remain weak, despite last year’s recovery, according to Drewry’s latest Container Census & Leasing annual.

Manning costs rising on trade recovery and officer supply shortage

Cost growth returned to seafaring in 2018 and is projected to accelerate moderately, according to Drewry’s latest Manning Annual.

Trade wars threaten to derail container revival

The risk to container shipping from US-led trade wars is currently low, but potentially very damaging, according to Drewry’s latest Container Forecaster.

Events

Project Cargo Summit

Susan Oatway to discuss the heavy lift and MPV shipping markets.

TPM Asia

Drewry to discuss the growth of China as a buyer and the impact on freight rates, port infrastructure, and regional supply chains.

Maritime HR & Crew Management

Martin Dixon to discuss the outlook for crew costs and the implications of new technology.