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Maritime Research

Container Shipping 2nd Edition Special Report - A Financial Health Check

June 2017

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Container industry risk assessment

 

The court receivership of Hanjin Shipping sent shock waves through the container shipping industry and even now the reverberations continue through the global supply chains ecosystem. The debacle affected not only shippers, but a vast array of vendors from ship leasing companies, port operators, container box lessors and suppliers - all felt the impact. Following these events our 2nd Edition Financial Health-Check report assesses the current state of each of the key players in the sector and identifies those over which warning signals continue to flash.

 

In this 2nd Edition special report, Container Shipping - A Financial Health Check - Macros and Micros, analysts at Drewry Financial Research Services Ltd have updated their independent assessment of the financial health of the industry.

 

Key findings from the analysis are:

  • Industry debt situation should improve as industry profitability returns. In our sample of 12 container lines, few operators have already started seeing improvements but those towards the bottom of our risk table have plenty of work ahead to mend their balance sheets.
  • Our analysis of the financial health of the operators show slight improvements are already underway. Most are likely to see better balance sheet and credit metrics if the improving profitability levels were to sustain over the next few years.

  • Gearing levels apart, the container shipping industry has remained afflicted with severe debt after investing heavily during the boom years; the expectation of a recovery in 2017 though is expected to ease the situation. Based on 1Q17 data, industry debt is already in the process of establishing a declining trend.

  • Most operators are finally reining in their capital expenses, indicating that the race to add larger vessels may be coming to an end. Similar to leverage, interest coverage has improved, as companies have reduced expenses (increasing EBITDA) and debt.

Drewry Financial Research uses a simple traffic light system to rank companies under according to their risk profiles.

We rank each company’s risk according to the following weighted parameters: balance sheet strength (45%), income growth (15%), diversification (10%), transparency (15%) and management/control (15%).


More Information

Companies included:

  • A.P. Moller Maersk ( Maersk Line)
  • China Shipping Holdings
  • CMA-CGM
  • Evergreen Marine Corp
  • Hapag-Lloyd AG
  • Hyundai Merchant Marine
  • Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd
  • Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd
  • Nippon Yusen KK
  • Wan Hai
  • Yang Ming

News

Battle for the supply chain to aide container supply-demand balance

Battle for the supply chain to aide container supply-demand balance
A shift in carrier focus away from ordering ever larger ships towards securing more of the global supply chain is expected to help improve the supply-demand balance of the container market over the next five years, according to Drewry’s latest Container Forecaster.

East-West air freight rates highest of last 4 peak seasons

Air freight rates on major East-West routes hit a 4-year high in November, according to the results of Drewry’s East-West Air Freight Rate Index.

East-West contract rates help reduce shippers’ costs

Ocean freight rates for cargoes moving under contracts on major East-West routes decreased by 7% in the fourth quarter, according to the results of Drewry’s Benchmarking Club Contract Index.

Ship operating costs reach inflection point as inflation returns

Average vessel operating costs rose modestly for the second year in succession following two years of marked declines, according to Drewry’s latest Ship Operating Costs Annual Review and Forecast.

Events

Global Grain Asia

Drewry to present on Transport, Logistics and Freight Costs: How are terminals going to cope with the change in trade flows?

5th Mare Forum Singapore

Drewry to discuss the digital transformation of shipping and ports in a panel session.

10th Chemical & Product Tanker Conference

Hugo Finlay to provide in-depth analysis of the chemical and product tanker market fundamentals.