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Maritime Research

Container Shipping 2nd Edition Special Report - A Financial Health Check

June 2017

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Container industry risk assessment

 

The court receivership of Hanjin Shipping sent shock waves through the container shipping industry and even now the reverberations continue through the global supply chains ecosystem. The debacle affected not only shippers, but a vast array of vendors from ship leasing companies, port operators, container box lessors and suppliers - all felt the impact. Following these events our 2nd Edition Financial Health-Check report assesses the current state of each of the key players in the sector and identifies those over which warning signals continue to flash.

 

In this 2nd Edition special report, Container Shipping - A Financial Health Check - Macros and Micros, analysts at Drewry Financial Research Services Ltd have updated their independent assessment of the financial health of the industry.

 

Key findings from the analysis are:

  • Industry debt situation should improve as industry profitability returns. In our sample of 12 container lines, few operators have already started seeing improvements but those towards the bottom of our risk table have plenty of work ahead to mend their balance sheets.
  • Our analysis of the financial health of the operators show slight improvements are already underway. Most are likely to see better balance sheet and credit metrics if the improving profitability levels were to sustain over the next few years.

  • Gearing levels apart, the container shipping industry has remained afflicted with severe debt after investing heavily during the boom years; the expectation of a recovery in 2017 though is expected to ease the situation. Based on 1Q17 data, industry debt is already in the process of establishing a declining trend.

  • Most operators are finally reining in their capital expenses, indicating that the race to add larger vessels may be coming to an end. Similar to leverage, interest coverage has improved, as companies have reduced expenses (increasing EBITDA) and debt.

Drewry Financial Research uses a simple traffic light system to rank companies under according to their risk profiles.

We rank each company’s risk according to the following weighted parameters: balance sheet strength (45%), income growth (15%), diversification (10%), transparency (15%) and management/control (15%).


More Information

Companies included:

  • A.P. Moller Maersk ( Maersk Line)
  • China Shipping Holdings
  • CMA-CGM
  • Evergreen Marine Corp
  • Hapag-Lloyd AG
  • Hyundai Merchant Marine
  • Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd
  • Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd
  • Nippon Yusen KK
  • Wan Hai
  • Yang Ming

News

Handysize LPG vessels to be worst performers in 2018

Handysize LPG vessels to be worst performers in 2018
Among the different sizes of LPG ships, the small vessel segment is expected to be the best performer in 2018 while Handysize ships will be the worst, according to Drewry’s latest LPG Forecaster.

Ship operating costs stabilise as market recovery lifts pressure

The cost of operating cargo ships rose marginally in 2017 following two consecutive years of falls, but shipowners should prepare for higher costs led by a spike in insurance premiums, according to Drewry’s latest Ship Operating Costs Annual.

Slowdown in China’s crude stoking activity to hurt tonnage demand in the crude tanker shipping market in 2018

Crude tanker freight rates are expected to decline further in 2018 following a sharp decline in 2017, according to Drewry’s latest Tanker Forecaster.

Drewry announces appointment of new Senior Quantitative Economist

Drewry appoints Mario O. Moreno as Senior Quantitative Economist.

Events

Port Technology Container Terminal Automation Conference

Neil Davidson to speak in the opening session discussing Drewry’s outlook for the sector.