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Maritime Research

Container Shipping 2nd Edition Special Report - A Financial Health Check

June 2017

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Container industry risk assessment

 

The court receivership of Hanjin Shipping sent shock waves through the container shipping industry and even now the reverberations continue through the global supply chains ecosystem. The debacle affected not only shippers, but a vast array of vendors from ship leasing companies, port operators, container box lessors and suppliers - all felt the impact. Following these events our 2nd Edition Financial Health-Check report assesses the current state of each of the key players in the sector and identifies those over which warning signals continue to flash.

 

In this 2nd Edition special report, Container Shipping - A Financial Health Check - Macros and Micros, analysts at Drewry Financial Research Services Ltd have updated their independent assessment of the financial health of the industry.

 

Key findings from the analysis are:

  • Industry debt situation should improve as industry profitability returns. In our sample of 12 container lines, few operators have already started seeing improvements but those towards the bottom of our risk table have plenty of work ahead to mend their balance sheets.
  • Our analysis of the financial health of the operators show slight improvements are already underway. Most are likely to see better balance sheet and credit metrics if the improving profitability levels were to sustain over the next few years.

  • Gearing levels apart, the container shipping industry has remained afflicted with severe debt after investing heavily during the boom years; the expectation of a recovery in 2017 though is expected to ease the situation. Based on 1Q17 data, industry debt is already in the process of establishing a declining trend.

  • Most operators are finally reining in their capital expenses, indicating that the race to add larger vessels may be coming to an end. Similar to leverage, interest coverage has improved, as companies have reduced expenses (increasing EBITDA) and debt.

Drewry Financial Research uses a simple traffic light system to rank companies under according to their risk profiles.

We rank each company’s risk according to the following weighted parameters: balance sheet strength (45%), income growth (15%), diversification (10%), transparency (15%) and management/control (15%).


More Information

Companies included:

  • A.P. Moller Maersk ( Maersk Line)
  • China Shipping Holdings
  • CMA-CGM
  • Evergreen Marine Corp
  • Hapag-Lloyd AG
  • Hyundai Merchant Marine
  • Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd
  • Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd
  • Nippon Yusen KK
  • Wan Hai
  • Yang Ming

News

Drewry launches special report: Hyundai Merchant Marine (HMM) - what lies ahead?

Drewry launches special report: Hyundai Merchant Marine (HMM) - what lies ahead?
Drewry Financial Research launches an in-depth assessment of the issues faced and HMM’s future prospects given the current and anticipated future market context.

Lessors strengthen their grip on the container equipment market

The move towards container leasing and away from carrier ownership continues unabated, according to Drewry’s latest Container Census & Leasing and Equipment Insight

Multipurpose shipping eyes recovery

Multipurpose shipping has started 2018 on a confident footing and is forecast to recover further on rising demand, according to Drewry’s latest Multipurpose Forecaster and Annual Review.

Slow and steady recovery for container shipping

The outlook for the container shipping market is a combination of healthy demand growth that will outpace the fleet; resulting in a better supply-demand balance, according to Drewry’s latest Container Forecaster.

Events

Crew Connect Europe

Martin Dixon to discuss the economic outlook of ship operating costs.

ESPO 2018

Tim Power to present the outlook for ports and shipping.

Container Ports webinar briefing: Are terminals surviving the perfect storm?

Join us at 0900 or 1600 BST on Tues, 5 June 2018 to find out more on our latest research covering the container ports and terminals market. The session will be hosted by Neil Davidson, Senior Analyst in Drewry’s Ports and Terminals practice and Martin Dixon, Director - Head of Research Products at Drewry. Both executives will be available to take questions following a short 20 minute presentation.