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Maritime Research

Chemical Forecaster (Annual Subscription)

Quarterly Forecaster

April 2019

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Chemical Forecaster

Detailed market analysis and forecasts

Every quarter subscribers receive an an in-depth assessment and forward analysis of the chemical shipping market. Chemical Forecaster looks beyond the sector to provide a 360-degree analysis of the entire market and the factors affecting the sector. Beyond the usual in-depth analysis and insight provided by our Forecaster products, 5-year forecasts are updated with every new issue. As is the case with our Dry Bulk, Tanker and LPG Forecaster products your subscription also includes complementary Chemical Forecaster Monthly Supplements.

 

Main sections within this report:

  • Executive summary
  • Economy and trade
  • Chemical tanker shipping trade
  • Freight markets
  • Vegetable oils, fats and molasses market

Executive summary
An executive summary looks at the global market and analyses the major developments in the market. It covers:

  • Chemical tanker freight rates
  • Orderbook development
  • Time charter rates
  • Drewry oils and fats freight index
  • Daily FOB prices 4 major oils

Economy and trade
To round off the global analysis of the global chemical trade, a second chapter is devoted to the global economy and trade in chemicals:

  • Deepsea transatlantic freight rates and regional freight rates
  • Top 10 organic, inorganic and vegetable and animal oils and fats seaborne exporters and imports by country
  • Organics, inorganics, and veg and animal oils and fats regional trade matrices
  • Total seaborne trade by commodity group

Chemical Tanker Shipping trade
With the global market covered, the next chapter focus on the global chemical tanker shipping trade. It presents an overview of:

  • Chemical tanker demand
  • Total chemical tanker fleet age profile and type/trading status
  • Total chemical tanker orderbook development, type and expected employment status
  • Chemical tanker deliveries and demolition
  • Forecast chemical tanker fleet by size, type and employment
  • Chemical tanker supply/demand balances
  • Estimated representative chemical tanker rates – coated vessels and IMO 2/3 fully stainless vessels
  • All major trade legs historic freight $/tonne
  • Newbuild and secondhand prices – IMO 2 – stainless and coated
  • Historical and forecast bunker prices

Freight markets

The following chapter looks specifically at the various freight markets within chemical shipping, across a range of trade lanes and locations:

  • Drewry Chemical Tanker Freight Index
  • Transatlantic Rotterdam to US Gulf and return
  • Transpacific Westbound US Gulf to Far East
  • Middle East Gulf to North West Europe and Mediterranean
  • NW Europe to India/SE Asia and Far East
  • US Gulf to South America and Mediterranean and return
  • Far East to Rotterdam and US Gulf
  • Arabian Gulf to India, Singapore and Far East
  • Singapore to various ports
  • Snapshot into Jubail and the Pakistani chemical market

Vegetable oil, fats and molasses market

This chapter looks at the main developments within the vegetable oil, fats and molasses market. Analysis and insight is provided on:

  • Main commodity freight rates oils and fats trade
  • All major trade legs historic freight
  • Monthly FOB prices 4 major oils
  • Daily price of crude palm oil and Brent crude
  • 380 cSt bunkers
  • World vegetable oils supply and distribution
  • Malaysian palm oil production and exports by country, month and port
  • Sunflower Oil: Production and exports
  • Soybean oil: World supply and distribution
  • China: Summary of imports and consumption
  • Argentinian exports by products, charterer and country
  • Argentinian biodiesel operator shares and share of vegetable oil and biodiesel in exports
  • Top 18 operators, Brazilian vegetable oil exports and exports by month
  • Top 10 charterers, Brazil
  • Voyage patterns and selected exports to the Far East

More Information

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News

Manning costs to rise below inflation on easing officer supply shortfall

Manning costs to rise below inflation on easing officer supply shortfall
Manning costs have risen moderately over the past 12 months, checked by easing officer supply shortage, and are forecast to rise at a similar pace over the next five years, according to Drewry’s latest Manning Annual Review and Forecast.

Proposed US auto tariffs would have a significant negative impact on key East-West trade routes

Key US ports, leading global container lines and specialist car carriers will all be adversely impacted should the proposed US auto tariffs be implemented in the second quarter of 2019, according to an impact analysis published by global shipping consultancy Drewry.

Satisfaction survey in container transport: Shippers dissatisfied with clarity of surcharges and transit times

The level of satisfaction concerning container carriers among exporters, importers, and freight forwarders falls marginally, according to the third annual shipper satisfaction survey of Drewry and the European Shippers’ Council (ESC).

A foggy outlook for container shipping, but a brighter tomorrow still likely

The container shipping industry is facing an exceptionally high level of uncertainty, ranging from the extra cost associated with IMO 2020 and how much carriers will recover from shippers, to the possibility of a trade recession and unknown future engagement by shipowners in large vessel building programmes, according to Drewry’s latest Container Forecaster.

Events

TOC Europe 2019

Neil Davidson and Leticia Astudillo to present Drewry’s ports and terminals outlook for 2019.

Automotive Logistics Global Munich 2019

Join Tom Ossieur discussing changing markets, changing networks, and changing capacity in global Finished Vehicle shipping.

Cool Logistics Global 2019

Meet Martin Dixon to hear Drewry’s Outlook for Perishable Reefer Shipping