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Maritime Research

Chemical Forecaster (Annual Subscription)

Quarterly In-depth Market Forecasts

October 2019

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Chemical Forecaster

Detailed market analysis and forecasts

Every quarter subscribers receive an an in-depth assessment and forward analysis of the chemical shipping market. Chemical Forecaster looks beyond the sector to provide a 360-degree analysis of the entire market and the factors affecting the sector. Beyond the usual in-depth analysis and insight provided by our Forecaster products, 5-year forecasts are updated with every new issue. As is the case with our Dry Bulk, Tanker and LPG Forecaster products your subscription also includes complementary Chemical Forecaster Monthly Supplements.

 

Main sections within this report:

  • Executive summary
  • Economy and trade
  • Chemical tanker shipping trade
  • Freight markets
  • Vegetable oils, fats and molasses market

Executive summary
An executive summary looks at the global market and analyses the major developments in the market. It covers:

  • Chemical tanker freight rates
  • Orderbook development
  • Time charter rates
  • Drewry oils and fats freight index
  • Daily FOB prices 4 major oils

Economy and trade
To round off the global analysis of the global chemical trade, a second chapter is devoted to the global economy and trade in chemicals:

  • Deepsea transatlantic freight rates and regional freight rates
  • Top 10 organic, inorganic and vegetable and animal oils and fats seaborne exporters and imports by country
  • Organics, inorganics, and veg and animal oils and fats regional trade matrices
  • Total seaborne trade by commodity group

Chemical Tanker Shipping trade
With the global market covered, the next chapter focus on the global chemical tanker shipping trade. It presents an overview of:

  • Chemical tanker demand
  • Total chemical tanker fleet age profile and type/trading status
  • Total chemical tanker orderbook development, type and expected employment status
  • Chemical tanker deliveries and demolition
  • Forecast chemical tanker fleet by size, type and employment
  • Chemical tanker supply/demand balances
  • Estimated representative chemical tanker rates – coated vessels and IMO 2/3 fully stainless vessels
  • All major trade legs historic freight $/tonne
  • Newbuild and secondhand prices – IMO 2 – stainless and coated
  • Historical and forecast bunker prices

Freight markets

The following chapter looks specifically at the various freight markets within chemical shipping, across a range of trade lanes and locations:

  • Drewry Chemical Tanker Freight Index
  • Transatlantic Rotterdam to US Gulf and return
  • Transpacific Westbound US Gulf to Far East
  • Middle East Gulf to North West Europe and Mediterranean
  • NW Europe to India/SE Asia and Far East
  • US Gulf to South America and Mediterranean and return
  • Far East to Rotterdam and US Gulf
  • Arabian Gulf to India, Singapore and Far East
  • Singapore to various ports
  • Snapshot into Jubail and the Pakistani chemical market

Vegetable oil, fats and molasses market

This chapter looks at the main developments within the vegetable oil, fats and molasses market. Analysis and insight is provided on:

  • Main commodity freight rates oils and fats trade
  • All major trade legs historic freight
  • Monthly FOB prices 4 major oils
  • Daily price of crude palm oil and Brent crude
  • 380 cSt bunkers
  • World vegetable oils supply and distribution
  • Malaysian palm oil production and exports by country, month and port
  • Sunflower Oil: Production and exports
  • Soybean oil: World supply and distribution
  • China: Summary of imports and consumption
  • Argentinian exports by products, charterer and country
  • Argentinian biodiesel operator shares and share of vegetable oil and biodiesel in exports
  • Top 18 operators, Brazilian vegetable oil exports and exports by month
  • Top 10 charterers, Brazil
  • Voyage patterns and selected exports to the Far East

More Information

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News

Drewry publishes first low-sulphur BAF reference price

Drewry publishes first low-sulphur BAF reference price
As part of a series of initiatives aimed at bringing greater transparency to fuel costs resulting from the new IMO 2020 low-sulphur regulation, Drewry is pleased to announce the publication of its first low-sulphur reference bunker index tracker.

Ship operating costs rise on higher R&M and insurance spend

Underlying vessel operating cost inflation accelerated moderately in 2019 on higher repair & maintenance and insurance spend, while costs are expected to continue rising at a similar pace in 2020, according to Drewry’s latest Ship Operating Costs Annual.

The time for higher BAF charges has come

With the enforcement date of the IMO 2020 low-sulphur regulation now only 6 weeks away, shippers and forwarders are starting to get their chequebooks out to help ocean carriers cover the additional cost of the cleaner, low-sulphur fuel.

ESC, Drewry announce an IMO 2020 BAF transparent indexing mechanism

Drewry and the European Shippers’ Council (ESC) have published a bunker adjustment factor indexing mechanism to help shippers monitor and control bunker charges in the run-up to and following the introduction of the IMO 2020 low-sulphur regulation.