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Maritime Research

Chemical Forecaster (Annual Subscription)

Quarterly Forecaster

January 2019

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Chemical Forecaster

Detailed market analysis and forecasts

Every quarter subscribers receive an an in-depth assessment and forward analysis of the chemical shipping market. Chemical Forecaster looks beyond the sector to provide a 360-degree analysis of the entire market and the factors affecting the sector. Beyond the usual in-depth analysis and insight provided by our Forecaster products, 5-year forecasts are updated with every new issue. As is the case with our Dry Bulk, Tanker and LPG Forecaster products your subscription also includes complementary Chemical Forecaster Monthly Supplements.

 

Main sections within this report:

  • Executive summary
  • Economy and trade
  • Chemical tanker shipping trade
  • Freight markets
  • Vegetable oils, fats and molasses market

Executive summary
An executive summary looks at the global market and analyses the major developments in the market. It covers:

  • Chemical tanker freight rates
  • Orderbook development
  • Time charter rates
  • Drewry oils and fats freight index
  • Daily FOB prices 4 major oils

Economy and trade
To round off the global analysis of the global chemical trade, a second chapter is devoted to the global economy and trade in chemicals:

  • Deepsea transatlantic freight rates and regional freight rates
  • Top 10 organic, inorganic and vegetable and animal oils and fats seaborne exporters and imports by country
  • Organics, inorganics, and veg and animal oils and fats regional trade matrices
  • Total seaborne trade by commodity group

Chemical Tanker Shipping trade
With the global market covered, the next chapter focus on the global chemical tanker shipping trade. It presents an overview of:

  • Chemical tanker demand
  • Total chemical tanker fleet age profile and type/trading status
  • Total chemical tanker orderbook development, type and expected employment status
  • Chemical tanker deliveries and demolition
  • Forecast chemical tanker fleet by size, type and employment
  • Chemical tanker supply/demand balances
  • Estimated representative chemical tanker rates – coated vessels and IMO 2/3 fully stainless vessels
  • All major trade legs historic freight $/tonne
  • Newbuild and secondhand prices – IMO 2 – stainless and coated
  • Historical and forecast bunker prices

Freight markets

The following chapter looks specifically at the various freight markets within chemical shipping, across a range of trade lanes and locations:

  • Drewry Chemical Tanker Freight Index
  • Transatlantic Rotterdam to US Gulf and return
  • Transpacific Westbound US Gulf to Far East
  • Middle East Gulf to North West Europe and Mediterranean
  • NW Europe to India/SE Asia and Far East
  • US Gulf to South America and Mediterranean and return
  • Far East to Rotterdam and US Gulf
  • Arabian Gulf to India, Singapore and Far East
  • Singapore to various ports
  • Snapshot into Jubail and the Pakistani chemical market

Vegetable oil, fats and molasses market

This chapter looks at the main developments within the vegetable oil, fats and molasses market. Analysis and insight is provided on:

  • Main commodity freight rates oils and fats trade
  • All major trade legs historic freight
  • Monthly FOB prices 4 major oils
  • Daily price of crude palm oil and Brent crude
  • 380 cSt bunkers
  • World vegetable oils supply and distribution
  • Malaysian palm oil production and exports by country, month and port
  • Sunflower Oil: Production and exports
  • Soybean oil: World supply and distribution
  • China: Summary of imports and consumption
  • Argentinian exports by products, charterer and country
  • Argentinian biodiesel operator shares and share of vegetable oil and biodiesel in exports
  • Top 18 operators, Brazilian vegetable oil exports and exports by month
  • Top 10 charterers, Brazil
  • Voyage patterns and selected exports to the Far East

More Information

Fast facts...

  • Annual subscription (single-site licence)
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  • Report charts, tables and graphs provided in MS Excel format
  • Free monthly supplements

News

Proposed US auto tariffs would have a significant negative impact on key East-West trade routes

Proposed US auto tariffs would have a significant negative impact on key East-West trade routes
Key US ports, leading global container lines and specialist car carriers will all be adversely impacted should the proposed US auto tariffs be implemented in the second quarter of 2019, according to an impact analysis published by global shipping consultancy Drewry.

Satisfaction survey in container transport: Shippers dissatisfied with clarity of surcharges and transit times

The level of satisfaction concerning container carriers among exporters, importers, and freight forwarders falls marginally, according to the third annual shipper satisfaction survey of Drewry and the European Shippers’ Council (ESC).

A foggy outlook for container shipping, but a brighter tomorrow still likely

The container shipping industry is facing an exceptionally high level of uncertainty, ranging from the extra cost associated with IMO 2020 and how much carriers will recover from shippers, to the possibility of a trade recession and unknown future engagement by shipowners in large vessel building programmes, according to Drewry’s latest Container Forecaster.

Second study identifies routing options and ample terminal capacity to gear-up short-sea container services, post-Brexit, to alleviate congestion through Dover

Alternative capacity could be provided by short-sea container services between the UK and EU to alleviate possible congestion at the Port of Dover post-Brexit, according to a study by global shipping consultancy Drewry.

Events

JOC Breakbulk & Project Cargo

Susan Oatway to present the outlook for the breakbulk and project cargo shipping market.

Port Technology Container Terminal Automation Conference 2019

Neil Davidson to speak in the opening session discussing Drewry’s outlook for the sector.

Global Liner Shipping

Philippe Salles to discuss guaranteed services and prices in liner shipping, its limitations, problems and impact on the business.